Complex category. What sets Lincoln

Going into the last weekend before the night of the 24th against 25th when they will be handed out for the 85th time the annual awards of the American Film Academy, and it's time for the final estimates. Last year Performance (11/24), which would not be proud of and someone who is still hesitant Academy Awards and Oscars are the same. This year, the improvement of this (non) achievement is absolutely essential, although in general the categories are not more transparent than last year. In fact, the emerging picture is quite interesting, but controversial for analysts. I can summarize it this way - the categories are divided into two types - those with a keen favorite for which, say, the bookmakers would not taking bets and those the only approach which is shooting in the dark. What if I'm right, I practically guarantee a minimum of 12 correct hits, but, you never know. Last year's ceremony made us witness serious anomaly: the best film of the year (The Artist) won the Oscar for best film. This year we return to the roots of the awards to see the triumph of production with the class a little above average and be happy because it could have been worse. After the nominations were announced, the absence of Ben Affleck and Katherine Bigelow was defined as a shock, but indicative of developments in key categories. Logic and especially the tradition indicated that Argo and Zero Dark Thirty are out of the fight for the best film and the only profitable forecast that seemed to Lincoln. However, negative forecasts materialize only Bigelow and the fact that 35 hours before the deal, Zero Dark Thirty no chance to win. Bar hostage crisis in Iran Affleck at the same time gain so serious and somewhat inexplicable inertia that virtually nothing can stop her. In most other categories, the situation is not dramatic changes since the announcement of the nominations so far. The most interesting and tied these competitions are an actress in a leading role, animation and original scenarios, and the uninitiated strongest category is the cinematography, which, if justice will be given five separate figurines. In preparing their estimates mainly use statistical approach, with the greatest burden are earned kanal9 until the awards and nominations during awards season. Then connect the subjective factor as the alleged attitude of the Academy to different kanal9 people, genres, cultures, and its bias. Taking into account forecasts of various respected critics and analysts. Personal kanal9 preference as to who should win based on my cinematic ideal of each of the individual aspects of filmmaking, as well as ordinary sympathies. Nominees may recall kanal9 here before we start.
This year, the category is not so weak and even includes many of the actual best films of the year and one of the best - Django Unchained. And while the tape Tarantino It is difficult to build illusions way to Lincoln until recently was completely free. The thing is that there Argo won everything he could win - Golden Globe Award critics, directors, actors, producers and BAFTA. For Lincoln and Life of Pi last hope for significant prize this fit is Oscar. I do not sound good, right? The big winner of the evening will be the band Ben Affleck not only because of this momentum, but also because it is the perfect Oskarov film - offers drama, suspense, comedy (a favorite of Hollywood self-irony), there are lucrative thematic orientation, tells the real story. But most important is that a substantial part of it is a movie about movies, and this is the most profitable trend at the moment. kanal9
Complex category. What sets Lincoln's chances ahead of Life of Pi, is significantly better chance of Oscars for best director Spielberg to leave than Ang Lee. And the reason is simple kanal9 - this year kinolegendata directed three actors to zero for the nomination against Lee. By this logic reaches that the chances of David O. Russell should not be underestimated, if, of course, the Academy handled solely cinematographic kanal9 arguments. kanal9 If we could find out if his enemies temper irritant and the people who fill out ballots likely to bet Spielberg would be a much easier decision. kanal9
There really is not much to debate. The only one who last year showed the camera acting power comparable to that of Day-Lewis is Joaquin Phoenix. But the Academy is eloquent about his feelings for The Master. Bradley Cooper makes a very comfortable role in SLP, which makes it a "major competitor", but even so, it is far from inconceivable CEB.
Lawrence and Chastain fell into different categories of "Golden Globes" and both won their, so everyone was happy. From the moment you both have something to share, t